Krigagem Ordinária Aplicada à Precipitação Pluviométrica nos Estados do Rio Grande do Sul e Santa Catarina Ordinary Kriging Applied to the Rainfall in the States of Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X22140Keywords:
Krigagem ordinária, geoestatística, precipitação pluviométricaAbstract
The states of the South second (Rossetti, 2000) presents industrial development, but its economy dependent on agriculture. The agriculture and crop yields, in turn, depend on the occurrence of rainfall. The agriculture and crop yields, in turn, depend on the occurrence of rainfall. located on the south end are basically influenced by the confrontation between extratropical and intertropical atmospheric systems characterized as one frontogenetic region, occurrence of studies and spatial distribution of weather events have used geostatistics, which is associated with a technical class to analyze and infer values of a variable. Kriging is a geostatistical estimation process variable values distributed in space and / or time based on values when considered interdependent adjacent the variogram analysis. geostatistical estimates are generally higher than other numerical interpolation methods as make use of the variogram function. This study aims to characterize the climatic conditions of Rio Grande do Sul estimating values for variable monthly total precipitation, building representative maps of the spatial and temporal distribution of this variable in 1963 and 2012 using ordinary Kriging.
Downloads
References
ANDRIOTTI, J. L. S. Fundamentos de estatística e geoestatística. São Leopoldo: Unisinos, 2009. v. 3, 165 p.
CARDOSO, A. O., (2005). Relações entre a TSM nos oceanos Pacífico e Atlântico e as condições climáticas nas Regiões Sul e Sudeste do Brasil. Tese de Doutorado ACA/IAG/USP, São Paulo.
COELHO, C. A. S., (2001). Anomalias de precipitação sobre a América do Sul e sua relação com a TSM dos oceanos Pacífico e Atlântico durante períodos de extremos de El Niño Oscilação Sul. Dissertação de Mestrado IAG/USP, São Paulo.
COSTA A.C; DURÃO R; PEREIRA M. J; SOARES A. 2008b. Using stochastic space-time models to map extreme precipitation in southern. Portugal. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences 8 (4): 763–773.
COSTA, A.C., DURAO, R., SOARES, A and PEREIRA, M. J., 2008a. A GEOSTATISTICAL EXPLORATORY ANALYSIS OF PRECIPITATION EXTREMES IN SOUTHERN PORTUGAL. Revstat-Statistical Journal, 6(1):21.
DURÃO, R.M; PEREIRA, M. J; COSTA, A.C; DELGADO, J.; DEL BARRIO, G and SOARES, A. 2009a. Spatial-temporal dynamics of precipitation extremes in southern Portugal: a geostatistical assessment study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY.
GOOVERTS, P. Geostatistics for natural resources evaluation. Oxford Univ. Press, 1997. 650p.
GRIMM, A. M.; TADESCHI, R. G. (2004). Influência de eventos de El Niño e La Niña sobre a freqüência de eventos extremos de precipitação no Brasil. In: Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, 13, CD ROM. Fortaleza - CE, SBMET. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY.
GRIMM, A. M.; TELEGINSKI, S.E.; COSTA, S.M.S.; GOMES, J. (1996). Anomalias de precipitação no sul do Brasil em eventos de El Nino. In: Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, Campos do Jordão, Anais, Rio de Janeiro: Sociedade Brasileira de Meteorologia, p. 1098-1102.
PEREIRA, M. J.; COSTA, a.C.; DURÃO, R. M. and, A. SOARES. 2008. Using stochastic space-time models to map extreme precipitation in southern Portugal. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 8(4):763-773.
PIRES, C. A. F.; STRIEDER, A. J. Modelagem Geoestatística de dados geofísicos, aplicada a pesquisa de Au no prospecto volta grande (Complex
RIBEIRO, A. de A. 2012. Eventos pluviais extremos e estiagens na região das Missões, RS: a percepção dos moradores do município de Santo Antônio das Missões /Arnaldo de Araujo Ribeiro. - Rio Claro: [s.n.], 198 f.
ROPELEWSKI, C. F.; HALPERT, M. S., (1987). Global and regional scale precipitation patterns associated with the El Niño - Southern Oscillation. In: Monthly Weather Review, v. 115, p. 1606-1626.
ROSSETI, L. A.; 2000 Agricultural zoning: asseming the risks of agriculture and providing trustworthy pointers for sustainable regional developement. In: Workshop Making Sustainable Regional Development Visible, Proceedings. Áustria, p. 13-15, 2000.
SILVA, G. A. M. 2005. Variabilidade inter-El Niños e seu impacto nos jatos de baixos níveis a leste dos Andes durante o verão austral. Dissertação de Mestrado. ACA/IAG/USP.
SILVA, I. R. Variabilidade sazonal e interanual das precipitações da Região Sul do Brasil, associadas às temperaturas dos oceanos Atlântico e Pacifico. Dissertação de Mestrado. Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais, São José dos Campos, 2001.
SILVA, S.A.B. et al. Aplicação da Geoestatística no Desenvolvimento de uma Base de Dados Climatológicos Para Uso no Modelo de Transferência Radiativa Brasil - SR. In: SIMPÓSIO BRASILEIRO DE SENSORIAMENTO REMOTO, 11., 2003, Belo Horizonte. Anais eletrônicos. Belo Horizonte: INPE, 2003. Disponível em: <http://sonda.ccst.inpe.br/publicacoes/eventos/XISBSR_2003_BH_11_294_Sheila_etal.pdf>. Acesso em: 12 abril. 2016.
SLEIMAN, J. 2008. Veranicos ocorridos da porção Noroeste do estado do rio Grande do Sul entre 1978 e 2005 e sua associação às condições climáticas na atmosfera. Dissertação de Mestrado (Mestre em Geografia). Universidade de São Paulo. São Paulo. 2008. 164f.
SOARES, A. O. 2009. Spatial-temporal dynamics of precipitation extremes in southern Portugal: a geostatistical assessment study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY.
SOARES, A. O; DURÃO, R. M; PEREIS, M.J. and COSTA, A. C. M. 2009. Spatial-temporal dynamics of precipitation extremes in southern Portugal: a geostatistical assessment study.
SOARES, A.; PEREIRA, M. J. Indicadores de desertificação – Desertwatch – Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade Técnica de Lisboa, 2009.
YAMAMOTO, J. K.; LANDIM, P. M. B. Conceitos e Aplicações. São Paulo: Oficina de textos, 2015. Acesso em: 08 de maio, 2016. Disponível em: https://books.google.com.br/books?id=QUsrBwAAQBAJ&pg=PR10&lpg=PR10&dq=Para+Journel;+Huijbregts+(1978,+p.+32)+a+infer%C3%AAncia+da+continuidade+espacial+de+uma+vari%C3%A1vel+regionalizada+pode+ser+feita+com+valores+amostrais+tendo+como+base+a+estat%C3%ADstica+de+dois+pontos&source=bl&ots=gqjFStv3oR&sig=wXxOmZKmfuoe1bYeMM4pxB6XWH0&hl=pt-BR&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwjf0OKpvsvMAhWDCpAKHaAlCjMQ6AEIHDAA#v=onepage&q=Para%20Journel%3B%20Huijbregts%20(1978%2C%20p.%2032)%20a%20infer%C3%AAncia%20da%20continuidade%20espacial%20de%20uma%20vari%C3%A1vel%20regionalizada%20pode%20ser%20feita%20com%20valores%20amostrais%20tendo%20como%20base%20a%20estat%C3%ADstica%20de%20dois%20pontos&f=false.
.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
To access the DECLARATION AND TRANSFER OF COPYRIGHT AUTHOR’S DECLARATION AND COPYRIGHT LICENSE click here.
Ethical Guidelines for Journal Publication
The Ciência e Natura journal is committed to ensuring ethics in publication and quality of articles.
Conformance to standards of ethical behavior is therefore expected of all parties involved: Authors, Editors, Reviewers, and the Publisher.
In particular,
Authors: Authors should present an objective discussion of the significance of research work as well as sufficient detail and references to permit others to replicate the experiments. Fraudulent or knowingly inaccurate statements constitute unethical behavior and are unacceptable. Review Articles should also be objective, comprehensive, and accurate accounts of the state of the art. The Authors should ensure that their work is entirely original works, and if the work and/or words of others have been used, this has been appropriately acknowledged. Plagiarism in all its forms constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Submitting the same manuscript to more than one journal concurrently constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Authors should not submit articles describing essentially the same research to more than one journal. The corresponding Author should ensure that there is a full consensus of all Co-authors in approving the final version of the paper and its submission for publication.
Editors: Editors should evaluate manuscripts exclusively on the basis of their academic merit. An Editor must not use unpublished information in the editor's own research without the express written consent of the Author. Editors should take reasonable responsive measures when ethical complaints have been presented concerning a submitted manuscript or published paper.
Reviewers: Any manuscripts received for review must be treated as confidential documents. Privileged information or ideas obtained through peer review must be kept confidential and not used for personal advantage. Reviewers should be conducted objectively, and observations should be formulated clearly with supporting arguments, so that Authors can use them for improving the paper. Any selected Reviewer who feels unqualified to review the research reported in a manuscript or knows that its prompt review will be impossible should notify the Editor and excuse himself from the review process. Reviewers should not consider manuscripts in which they have conflicts of interest resulting from competitive, collaborative, or other relationships or connections with any of the authors, companies, or institutions connected to the papers.
