Asymmetric Movements between the US and Hong-Kong Stock Market Price Indices

Autores

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X40509

Palavras-chave:

TAR and M-Tar, CUSUM, asymmetric test, price index, interst rates.

Resumo

In the financial field, we are often faced with data that are somewhat non-linear. Thus, this research investigates the asymmetric behavior of the series through the Threshold Autoregressive and Momentum Threshold  asymmetry tests between price index using diary data between of the total price index of actions in stock markets of United States of America (S&P500) and Hong Kong (HANG SENG), from January 2, 1995 to March 29, 2013. With the empirical analysis it was possible to see the asymmetry in the series analysed through the TAR and M-TAR models. These oscillations demonstrate that behaviors are distinct in contractions and expansions.

Downloads

Não há dados estatísticos.

Biografia do Autor

Luciane Flores Jacobi, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria

Professora do Departamento de Estatística da UFSM.

Licenciada em Matemática, especialista em Estatística e Modelagem Quantitativa, mestre em Engenharia de produção e Doutora em Agronomia.

Referências

ENDERS W, GRANGER CWJ. Unit-root test and asymmetric with an example using the structure of interest rates, Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. 1998;16, 304–311.

ENDERS W, SIKLOS P. Cointegration and threshold adjustment. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics. 2001;19(2), 166-176.

GRANGER CWJ, TERÄSVIRTA T. Modelling Nonlinear Economic Relationships. New York: Oxford University Press; 1993.

GJERDE, SAETTEM F. Causal relations among stock returns and macroeconomic variables in a small, open econom. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money. 1999;9, 61–74.

LANNE M, LÜTKEPOHL H, SAIKKONEN P. Test Procedures for Unit Roots in Time Series with Level Shifts at Unknown Time. Humboldt University of Berlin Discussion Paper. 2001;(39).

LANNE M, LÜTKEPOHL H, SAIKKONEN P. Comparison of unit root tests for time series with level shifts, Journal of Time Series Analysis. 2002;23, 667-685.

MENEZES R, DIONÍSIO A, MENDES D. Mutual information: a measure of dependency for nonlinear time series, Physica A. 2004;344, 326-329.

MENEZES R, FERREIRA NB, MENDES DA. Co-movements and asymmetric volatility in the Portuguese and US stock markets. Nonlinear Dynamics. 2006; 44(1), 359-366.

RAPACH DE. Macro shocks and real stock prices. Journal of Economics and Business. 2001;53, 5–26.

SOUZA FM. Efeitos de Contágio das Taxas de Juro a Longo Prazo na Rendibilidade dos Índices Bolsistas Internacionais: Um Modelo com Quebras Estruturais, Persistência e Heterocedasticidade Condicionada [thesis]. Lisboa: Instituto Universitário de Lisboa; 2016. 147 p.

SIKLOS PL. Asymmetric adjustment from structural booms and slumps. Economic Letters. 2002;77, 329-333.

TONG H. On a threshold model. In: Chen CH. (Ed.), Pattern Recognition and Signal Processing. Sijthoff and Noordhoff, Amsterdam; 1978.

TONG H. Threshold Models in Non-Linear Time Series Analysis. New York: Springer-Verlag; 1993.

TONG H. Non-Linear Time-Series: A Dynamical Systems Approach. Oxford: Oxford University Press; 1990.

Publicado

2020-12-29

Como Citar

Souza, F. M., Jacobi, L. F., Zanini, R. R., & Souza, A. M. (2020). Asymmetric Movements between the US and Hong-Kong Stock Market Price Indices. Ciência E Natura, 42, e2. https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X40509

Edição

Seção

30 anos estatística- Especialização

Artigos mais lidos pelo mesmo(s) autor(es)

<< < 1 2 3 4 5 > >>