Simulation for a trajectory of locusts swarm in Argentina in 2020
Keywords:Migratory locust, Mathematical model, Swarm trajectory, WRF model
AbstractThis work presents a simulation for the trajectory of a locusts swarm of the species Schistocerca cancellata (Audinet-Serville), between May 22th and July 29th, 2020, in Argentina. To obtain the directions, temperature and intensities of the wind, used to determine the daily traveled distance of the insects, the data of weather forecast from Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model are used. The methodology used allows following in real-time the movement of locusts swarms, with wind field forecasts by the WRF model, predicting the trajectory and making it possible to plan actions by government control agencies with pesticides in convenient areas. A statistical analysis shows the effectiveness of the forecast model used.
LIVRE, C. (2020). Argentina encontrou uma forma de combater a nuvem de gafanhotos. Disponível em: https://catracalivre.com.br/mais/argentina-encontrou-uma-forma-de-combater-a-nuvem-de- gafanhotos/. Acesso em: 23 de Setembro de 2020.
MARKLE, S. (2007). Locusts: Insects on the Move (Insect World). Lerner Publications.
SENASA (2020a). Langostas. Disponível em: https://www.argentina.gob.ar/senasa/micrositios/ langostas. Acesso em: 23 de Setembro de 2020.
SENASA (2020b). Maps. Disponível em: https://geonode.senasa.gob.ar/maps/1806/view. Acesso em: 23 de Setembro de 2020.
TOPAZ, C. M., D’ORSOGNA, M. R., EDELSTEIN-KESHET, BERNOFF, A. J. (2012). Locust dynamics: Behavioral phase change and swarming. PLOS Computational Biology, 8(8).
UFPel (2020). Ufpel acompanha e simula trajetória da nuvem de gafanhotos. Disponível em: http://ccs2.ufpel.edu.br/wp/2020/07/20/ufpel-acompanha-e-simula-trajetoria-da-nuvem-de-gafanhotos/. Acesso em: 23 de Setembro de 2020
How to Cite
Copyright (c) 2021 Ciência e Natura
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
To access the DECLARATION AND TRANSFER OF COPYRIGHT AUTHOR’S DECLARATION AND COPYRIGHT LICENSE click here.
Ethical Guidelines for Journal Publication
The Ciência e Natura journal is committed to ensuring ethics in publication and quality of articles.
Conformance to standards of ethical behavior is therefore expected of all parties involved: Authors, Editors, Reviewers, and the Publisher.
Authors: Authors should present an objective discussion of the significance of research work as well as sufficient detail and references to permit others to replicate the experiments. Fraudulent or knowingly inaccurate statements constitute unethical behavior and are unacceptable. Review Articles should also be objective, comprehensive, and accurate accounts of the state of the art. The Authors should ensure that their work is entirely original works, and if the work and/or words of others have been used, this has been appropriately acknowledged. Plagiarism in all its forms constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Submitting the same manuscript to more than one journal concurrently constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Authors should not submit articles describing essentially the same research to more than one journal. The corresponding Author should ensure that there is a full consensus of all Co-authors in approving the final version of the paper and its submission for publication.
Editors: Editors should evaluate manuscripts exclusively on the basis of their academic merit. An Editor must not use unpublished information in the editor's own research without the express written consent of the Author. Editors should take reasonable responsive measures when ethical complaints have been presented concerning a submitted manuscript or published paper.
Reviewers: Any manuscripts received for review must be treated as confidential documents. Privileged information or ideas obtained through peer review must be kept confidential and not used for personal advantage. Reviewers should be conducted objectively, and observations should be formulated clearly with supporting arguments, so that Authors can use them for improving the paper. Any selected Reviewer who feels unqualified to review the research reported in a manuscript or knows that its prompt review will be impossible should notify the Editor and excuse himself from the review process. Reviewers should not consider manuscripts in which they have conflicts of interest resulting from competitive, collaborative, or other relationships or connections with any of the authors, companies, or institutions connected to the papers.