Dexterity of WRF and GFS models in contrast with vertical radiosonde profiles

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X87743

Keywords:

Radiosonde, WRF, Model

Abstract

The study focused on evaluating the dexterity of numerical prediction models using radiosonde data, which consists of collecting information from the atmospheric profile, which is fundamental for the initialization of the models. For this analysis, two models, GFS and WRF, were compared with radiosonde observations. The observations used are from the radiosondes launched from the International Airport of Santarém/PA - Maestro Wilson Fonseca. Overall, both models underestimated air temperature measurements at low levels but aligned better at high altitudes. As for the zonal wind, the GFS overestimated at some levels, while the WRF had smaller discrepancies. The models face challenges in predicting air temperature, suggesting limitations in region-specific physics and boundary conditions. Both models had similar performance in the zonal wind forecast. The study highlights the importance of considering such discrepancies in weather forecasting and how these tools can be adjusted to improve their forecasts.

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Author Biographies

Diego Pereira Bezerra, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará

Graduating in the Atmospheric Sciences course at the Federal University of Western Pará (UFOPA), with an emphasis on data assimilation into numerical weather prediction models. I have solid experience in the computing field, excelling in computer maintenance and skills in programming languages such as Python, R, HTML and Shell script.

Julio Tota da Silva, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará

Adjunct Professor of the Undergraduate Course in Atmospheric Sciences at the Federal University of Western Pará - UFOPA. Graduated with a Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from UFPA, a Master's degree in Meteorology from INPE and a PhD in Climate and Environment from INPA-UEA. He works as a researcher and collaborating teaching member in the Postgraduate Program in Climate and Environment (CLIAMB) at INPA, Member of the Scientific Committee of the LBA / MCTIC Program. He served at UFOPA as Coordinator of the undergraduate course in Bachelor of Atmospheric Sciences, served as Coordinator of the postgraduate course in Society Nature and Development (PPGSND - doctorate), was Director of Postgraduate Studies/Substitute Dean in the exercise of PROPPIT from UFOPA. He is currently an adjunct professor and was Director of the Institute of Engineering and Geosciences at UFOPA, and a permanent member of the Postgraduate programs, master's degree in Amazon Natural Resources (PPGRNA) and doctorate in Society, Nature and Development (PPGSND). (totaju@gmail.com / julio.tota@ufopa.edu.br).

Antonio Marcos Delfino de Andrade, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará

He has a degree in METEOROLOGY from the Federal University of Alagoas (2008), a Master's degree in Meteorology from the Federal University of Alagoas (2011) and a PhD in Meteorology from the Federal University of Campina Grande (2016). He served as an FDB/INPA fellow at the National Institute for Amazonian Research, in the Large-Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Experiments in the Amazon-LBA. He has experience in the area of Geosciences, with an emphasis on Micrometeorology. He is currently a substitute professor of the Atmospheric Sciences (CA) course, belonging to the Institute of Geosciences Engineering (IEG) at the Federal University of Western Pará (UFOPA).

Arthur Wendell Duarte Silva, National Institute for Space Research

Graduated in Bachelor of Atmospheric Sciences from the Federal University of Western Pará (2024). Currently studying for a Master's degree in the Postgraduate Program in Meteorology at the National Institute for Space Research. He has knowledge in the area of geoscience, with an emphasis on Meteorology, working mainly in the areas of meteorological instrumentation, atmospheric modeling and data assimilation. He has experience in the areas of extreme weather events, human biometeorology, Amazon climatology and cartography.

Ana Vitória Padilha Mendes, National Institute for Space Research

Graduated from the Bachelor's degree in Atmospheric Sciences at the Federal University of Western Pará (UFOPA), she currently aims to improve her academic and professional knowledge. During her academic career, she participated in research groups, highlighting the following: Atmospheric Sciences in the Amazon, Statistical Biometeorology and Data Assimilation by Neural Networks.

Beatriz Freire Mota, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria

Postgraduate student at the Federal University of Santa Maria, study focused on the behavior of atmospheric turbulence and boundary layer

Raoni Aquino Silva de Santana, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará

Graduated in Physics from the Federal University of Pará (UFPA) and Master's and PhD from the National Institute for Amazon Research (INPA) and the State University of Amazonas (UEA). Adjunct professor of the Atmospheric Sciences Course at the Federal University of Western Pará

Aurilene Barros dos Santos de Andrade, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará

He has a degree in meteorology from the Federal University of Alagoas (2009) and a master's degree in Climate and Environment from the National Institute for Amazonian Research (2013). He has experience in the area of Geosciences, with an emphasis on Meteorology, working mainly on the following topics: Atlantic Forest, Amazon, wavelet, soil temperature and litter.

Theomar Trindade de Araujo Tiburtino Neves, Universidade Federal do Oeste do Pará

He has a degree in Meteorology from the Federal University of Alagoas (2007) and a master's degree (2010) and doctorate (2015) from the National Institute for Space Research. He has experience in Meteorology in the areas of Micrometeorology, with an emphasis on Atmospheric Boundary Layer (TCC, Dissertation, Thesis and FAPEAM Scholarship), and Climatology, Climate Change (CNPq Scholarship).

David Roy Fitzjarrald, University at Albany

Bachelor of Science in Physics, University of Illinois, Urbana [1965-1969]; High Honors, Phi Beta Kappa. Master in Meteorology, University of California, Los Angeles [1972-1974]. PhD in Environmental Sciences, University of Virginia, Charlottesville [1975-1980]. boundary layer meteorology; local wind systems; observations of forest-atmosphere interactions; tropical meteorology.

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Published

2024-12-16

How to Cite

Bezerra, D. P., Silva, J. T. da, Andrade, A. M. D. de, Silva, A. W. D., Mendes, A. V. P., Mota, B. F., Santana, R. A. S. de, Andrade, A. B. dos S. de, Neves, T. T. de A. T., & Fitzjarrald, D. R. (2024). Dexterity of WRF and GFS models in contrast with vertical radiosonde profiles. Ciência E Natura, 46(esp. 2), e87743. https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X87743

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