WIND VELOCITY FORECAST USING WRF MODEL ON THE CENTRAL REGION OF ALAGOAS STATE (BRAZIL)

Authors

  • Roberto Fernando da Fonseca Lyra Universidade Federal de Alagoas
  • Rosiberto Salustiano da Silva Junior Professor Doutor, UFAL, Instituto de Ciências Atmosféricas, Maceió/AL, Brasil
  • Marcos Antonio Lima Moura Professor Doutor, UFAL, Instituto de Ciências Atmosféricas, Maceió/AL, Brasil
  • Marney Chaves de Aragão Lisboa Amorim Mestrando, UFAL, Instituto de Ciências Atmosféricas, Maceió/AL, Brasil

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X20273

Keywords:

Wind. Wind power. Atmospherics models.

Abstract

The PVPN project (Previsão do Vento em Parques Eólicos no Nordeste Brasileiro “Wind forecast for wind farms in the Brazilian Northeast”) has been made aiming to developing a methodology for the prediction of short and medium-term wind energy in wind farms, proper Brazilian Northeast. This paper presents results from an intensive campaign, which, wind velocity and micrometeorological measurements including turbulence are made. Estimates made by the WRF model for the wind velocity were compared with friction velocity and the fluxes (sensible heat and latent heat). The results showed that the model represented well the daily cycles of the four variables with correlation coefficients between 0.79 and 0.94. The estimation of the wind velocity were very good with a difference of only 10.55%. The estimate of the remaining variables was bad to reasonable.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biography

Roberto Fernando da Fonseca Lyra, Universidade Federal de Alagoas

Possui graduação em Meteorologia pela Universidade Federal de Alagoas (1985) e doutorado em Física da Atmosfera - "Université Paul Sabatier" , Toulouse França (1990). Atualmente é professor associado da Universidade Federal de Alagoas. Tem experiência na área de Geociências, com ênfase em Micrometeorologia, atuando principalmente nos seguintes temas: camada limite atmosférica em região tropical, trocas de energia, massa e momentum entre dosseis vegetativos e a camada limite, efeitos do desmatamento da Amazônia nos processos superfície, climatologia urbana e meio-ambiente (ênfase em energia eólica).

References

AMORIM, M. C. A. L., Desenvolvimento da Camada Limite Atmosférica e o Processo Convectivo em Rondônia – RBLE3. 2011. 59 f. Trabalho de Conclusão de Curso (Bacharelado em eteorologia) – Universidade Federal de Alagoas. Instituto de Ciências Atmosféricas. Maceió-AL, Brasil.

CARVALHO, D.; ROCHA, A.; GÓMEZ-GESTEIRA, M.; SANTOS, C. A sensitivity study of the WRF model in wind simulation for an area of high wind energy. Environmental Modelling & Software, v. 33, p. 23-34, 2012.

GIORGI, M. G.; FICARELLA, A.; TARANTINO, M. Assessment of the benefits of numerical weather predictions in wind power forecasting based on statistical methods. Energy, 36(7):3968 – 3978, 2011.

GNANA SHEELA, K.; DEEPA, S. N. An Intelligent Computing Model for Wind Speed Prediction in Renewable Energy Systems. Procedia Engineering 30, 380-385. 2011. doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2012.01.875.

GONÇALVES, R. A. Refinamento estatístico das previsões de vento do modelo ETA aplicado ao setor Eólico-Elétrico no Nordeste Brasileiro. Dissertação de Mestrado em Meteorologia, São José dos Campos (SP): Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), 2011. 151 pp.

LYRA, A. A. Testes de sensibilidade e avaliação das previsões de vento do modelo ETA para Região Nordeste. Dissertação de Mestrado em Meteorologia, São José dos Campos (SP): Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), 2008. 106 p.

LYRA, R. F. F. Predominância do vento na região de tabuleiros costeiros próximo a Maceió. X Congresso Brasileiro de Meteorologia, Brasília, 1998.

MARTINS, F. R.; GUARNIERI, R. A.; PEREIRA, E. B. O aproveitamento da energia eólica. Revista Brasileira de Ensino em Física, v. 1, p. 1-13, 2008. ISSN 1806-1117.

PINTO, L. I. C.; MARTINS, F. R.; PEREIRA, E. B.; FISCH, G. F.; LYRA, R. F. F. Confiabilidade nas Estimativas do Regime do Vento Fornecidas Pelo BRAMS no Estado de Alagoas: Influência do Aninhamento e da Resolução Horizontal de Grades. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v.29, n.2, 242 - 258, 2014.

RAMOS, D. N. S. Mapeamento eólico do Estado de Alagoas utilizando ferramentas computacionais e dados observados. 2012. 130 p. Dissertação (Mestrado em Meteorologia) - Universidade Federal de Alagoas (UFAL), Maceió (AL), 2012.

RAMOS, D. N. S.; LYRA, R. F. F.; SIILVA-JÚNIOR, R. S. Previsão do Vento Utilizando o Modelo Atmosférico WRF para o Estado de Alagoas. Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia, v.28, n.2, 163 - 172, 2013.

SILVA, A. F. G. Avaliação do Modelo WRF ao Perfil do Vento no Centro de Lançamento de Alcântara. 2013. 76 p. Dissertação (Mestrado em Meteorologia) – Curso de Pós-Graduação em Meteorologia, Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE), São José dos Campos, 2013.

WANG, X.C.; GUO, P.; HUANG, X.B. (2011). A Review of Wind Power Forecasting Models. Energy Procedia, 12, 770-778. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.egypro.2011.10.103.

Downloads

Published

2016-07-20

How to Cite

Lyra, R. F. da F., Silva Junior, R. S. da, Moura, M. A. L., & Amorim, M. C. de A. L. (2016). WIND VELOCITY FORECAST USING WRF MODEL ON THE CENTRAL REGION OF ALAGOAS STATE (BRAZIL). Ciência E Natura, 38, 447–451. https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X20273

Issue

Vol. 38 (2016): SPECIAL EDITION: IX WORKSHOP BRASILEIRO DE MICROMETEOROLOGIA

Section

Special Edition

License

To access the DECLARATION AND TRANSFER OF COPYRIGHT AUTHOR’S DECLARATION AND COPYRIGHT LICENSE click here.

 

Ethical Guidelines for Journal Publication

The Ciência e Natura journal is committed to ensuring ethics in publication and quality of articles. 

Conformance to standards of ethical behavior is therefore expected of all parties involved: Authors, Editors, Reviewers, and the Publisher.

In particular, 

Authors: Authors should present an objective discussion of the significance of research work as well as sufficient detail and references to permit others to replicate the experiments. Fraudulent or knowingly inaccurate statements constitute unethical behavior and are unacceptable. Review Articles should also be objective, comprehensive, and accurate accounts of the state of the art. The Authors should ensure that their work is entirely original works, and if the work and/or words of others have been used, this has been appropriately acknowledged. Plagiarism in all its forms constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Submitting the same manuscript to more than one journal concurrently constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Authors should not submit articles describing essentially the same research to more than one journal. The corresponding Author should ensure that there is a full consensus of all Co-authors in approving the final version of the paper and its submission for publication.

Editors: Editors should evaluate manuscripts exclusively on the basis of their academic merit. An Editor must not use unpublished information in the editor's own research without the express written consent of the Author. Editors should take reasonable responsive measures when ethical complaints have been presented concerning a submitted manuscript or published paper.

Reviewers: Any manuscripts received for review must be treated as confidential documents. Privileged information or ideas obtained through peer review must be kept confidential and not used for personal advantage. Reviewers should be conducted objectively, and observations should be formulated clearly with supporting arguments, so that Authors can use them for improving the paper. Any selected Reviewer who feels unqualified to review the research reported in a manuscript or knows that its prompt review will be impossible should notify the Editor and excuse himself from the review process. Reviewers should not consider manuscripts in which they have conflicts of interest resulting from competitive, collaborative, or other relationships or connections with any of the authors, companies, or institutions connected to the papers.

Most read articles by the same author(s)