Modelagem da Proporção de Obesos nos Estados Unidos Utilizando o Modelo de Regressão Beta
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X21393Keywords:
Estados Unidos, modelo de regressão beta, obesosAbstract
Neste artigo tivemos como objetivo modelar a proporção de adultos obesos nos estados dos Estados Unidos considerando osindivíduos que apresentaram IMC (Índice de Massa Corporal) maior ou igual a 30.0 kg/m2. Utilizamos o modelo de regressão
beta com finalidade de explicar a proporção de adultos obesos, uma vez que os dados apresentam assimetria e estão restritos ao intervalo (0,1). Os resultados mostraram que a falta de atividade física, o pouco consumo de vegetais por dia, o hábito de fumar e as taxas de insegurança alimentar nos estados, apresentam um efeito positivo no aumento da proporção média de adultos obesos, por outro lado as taxas de desemprego e o escore de bem-estar, exibem uma relação negativa com o desfecho. Estimamos o impacto das taxas de inatividade física sobre a proporção média de adultos obesos e os resultados revelaram que o efeito desse impacto é positivo e apresenta uma forma acelerada para valores de inatividade física menores do que 0.85.
Downloads
References
Almeida Junior, P., Souza, T. (2015). Estimativas de votos
da presidente Dilma Roussef nas eleições presidenciais
de 2010 sob o âmbito do bolsa família. Ciência e Natura,
(1), 12–22.
Arterburn, D., Maciejewski, M., Tsevat, J. (2005). Impact
of morbid obesity on medical expenditures in adults.
International Journal of Obesity, 29(3), 334–339.
Basu, S., Mckee, M., Galea, G., Stuckler, D. (2013). Relationship
of soft drink consumption to global overweight,
obesity, and diabetes: a cross-national analysis of 75
countries. American Journal of Public Health, 103(11),
(7).
Cabrera, M., Filho, W. (2001). Obesidade em idosos:
prevalência, distribuição e associação com hábitos e
co-morbidades. Arq Bras Endocrinol Metab, 45(5), 494–
Castanho, G. K. F., Marsola, F. C., Mclellan, K. C. P., Nicola,
M., Moreto, F., Burini, R. C. (2013). Consumo de
frutas, verduras e legumes associado à síndrome metabólica
e seus componentes em amostra populacional
adulta. Ciência Saúde Coletiva, 18(2), 385–392.
Cavalcanti, C. B. S., Barros, M. V. G., Menêses, A. L., Santos,
C. M., Azevedo, A. M. P., Guimarães, F. J. d. S. P.
(2010). Obesidade abdominal em adolescentes: prevalência
e associação com atividade física e hábitos
alimentares. Arquivos Brasileiros de Cardiologia, 94(3),
–377.
Cribari-Neto, F., Souza, T. (2012). Testing inference in variable
dispersion beta regressions. Journal os Statistical
Computation and Simulation, 82(12), 1827–1843.
Cribari-Neto, F., Souza, T. (2013). Religious belief and
intelligence: Worldwide evidence. Intelligence, 41(5),
–489.
Cribari-Neto, F., Zeileis, A. (2010). Beta regression in R.
Journal of Statistical Software, 34(2), 1–24.
Danaei, G., Ding, E., Mozaffarian, D., Taylor, B., Rehm,
J., Murray, C., M., E. (2009). The preventable causes
of death in the united states: comparative risk assessment
of dietary, lifestyle, and metabolic risk factors.
PLoS Medice, 6(4).
Dharod, J. M., Croom, J. E., Sady, C. G. (2013). Food
insecurity: its relationship to dietary intake and body
weight among somali refugee women in the United
States. Journal of Nutrition Education and Behavior, 45(1),
–53.
Espinheira, P., Ferrari, S., Cribari-Neto, F. (2008a). Influence
diagnostics in beta regression. Computational
Statistics and Data Analysis, 52(9), 4417–4431.
Espinheira, P., Ferrari, S., Cribari-Neto, F. (2008b). On
beta regression residuals. Journal of Applied Statistics,
(4), 407–419.
Ferrari, S., Cribari-Neto, F. (2004). Beta regression for
modeling rates and proportions. Journal os Applied
Statistics, 31(7), 799–815.
Flegal, K. M. (2007). The effects of changes in smoking
prevalence on obesity prevalence in the United States.
American Journal of Public Health, 97(8), 1510–1514.
Gabriele, R. (2011). Índice de massa corporal no diagnóstico
de transtornos nutricionais em idosos institucionalizados
no município de Fortaleza, Ceará. Dissertação
de Mestrado, Universidade de Fortaleza.
Kleiber, C., Zeleis, A. (2008). Applied econometrics with R.
New York: Springer.
Mccullagh, P., Nelder, J. (1989). Generalized linear models.
London: Chapman and Hall.
Ogden, C., Carroll, M., KIT, B., KM., F. (2013). Prevalence
of obesity among adults: United states, 2011-2012.
NCHS Data Brief, 131, 1–8.
Pietiläinen, K., Kaprio, J., Borg, P., Plasqui, G., Ykijärvinen,
H., Kujala, U., Rose, R., Westerterp, K., Rissanen,
A. (2008). Physical inactivity and obesity: A vicious
circle. Obesity (Silver Spring), 16(2), 409–414.
Ramsey, J. B. (1969). Tests for specification erros in classical
linear least squares regression analysis. Journal of
the Royal Statistical Society, 31(2), 350–371.
Rezende, F. A. C., Rosado, L. E. F. P., Ribeiro, R. C. L.,
Vidigal, F. C., Vasques, A. C. J., Bonard, I. S., Carvalho,
C. R. (2006). Índice de massa corporal e circunferência
abdominal: associação com fatores de risco cardiovascular.
Arq Bras Cardiol, 87(6), 728–734.
Silva, C., Souza, T. (2014). Modelagem da taxa de analfabetismo
no estado da Paraíba via modelo de regressão
beta. Revista Brasileira de Biometria, 32(3), 345–359.
Simas, A., Barreto-Souza, W., Rocha, A. (2010). Improved
estimators for a general class of beta regression models.
Computational Statistics and Data Analysis, 54(2),
–366.
Smithson, M., Verkuilen, J. (2006). A better lemonsqueezer?
maximum likelihood regression with
beta-distribuited dependent variables. Psychological
Methods, 11(1), 54–71.
Souza, T., Cribari-Neto, F. (2015). Intelligence, religiosity
and homosexuality non-acceptance: Empirical
evidence. Intelligence (Norwood), 52, 63–70.
Stol, A., Gugelmin, G., Lampa-Junior, V. M., Frigulha,
C., Selbach, R. A. (2011). Complicações e óbitos nas
operações para tratar a obesidade mórbida. ABCD Arq
Bras Cir Dig, 24(4), 282–284.
Zhang, Q., Lamichhane, R., Wang, Y. (2014). Associations
between u.s. adult obesity and state and county
economic conditions in the recession. Journal of Clinical
Medicine, 3(1), 153–166.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
To access the DECLARATION AND TRANSFER OF COPYRIGHT AUTHOR’S DECLARATION AND COPYRIGHT LICENSE click here.
Ethical Guidelines for Journal Publication
The Ciência e Natura journal is committed to ensuring ethics in publication and quality of articles.
Conformance to standards of ethical behavior is therefore expected of all parties involved: Authors, Editors, Reviewers, and the Publisher.
In particular,
Authors: Authors should present an objective discussion of the significance of research work as well as sufficient detail and references to permit others to replicate the experiments. Fraudulent or knowingly inaccurate statements constitute unethical behavior and are unacceptable. Review Articles should also be objective, comprehensive, and accurate accounts of the state of the art. The Authors should ensure that their work is entirely original works, and if the work and/or words of others have been used, this has been appropriately acknowledged. Plagiarism in all its forms constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Submitting the same manuscript to more than one journal concurrently constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Authors should not submit articles describing essentially the same research to more than one journal. The corresponding Author should ensure that there is a full consensus of all Co-authors in approving the final version of the paper and its submission for publication.
Editors: Editors should evaluate manuscripts exclusively on the basis of their academic merit. An Editor must not use unpublished information in the editor's own research without the express written consent of the Author. Editors should take reasonable responsive measures when ethical complaints have been presented concerning a submitted manuscript or published paper.
Reviewers: Any manuscripts received for review must be treated as confidential documents. Privileged information or ideas obtained through peer review must be kept confidential and not used for personal advantage. Reviewers should be conducted objectively, and observations should be formulated clearly with supporting arguments, so that Authors can use them for improving the paper. Any selected Reviewer who feels unqualified to review the research reported in a manuscript or knows that its prompt review will be impossible should notify the Editor and excuse himself from the review process. Reviewers should not consider manuscripts in which they have conflicts of interest resulting from competitive, collaborative, or other relationships or connections with any of the authors, companies, or institutions connected to the papers.
