Forecast modelling of vegetable oil spill events at Paranaguá Port, Brazil

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X74957

Keywords:

Soy oil, Telemac-3d, ECOS, Python, Forecast modelling, Oil spill

Abstract

The Port of Paranaguá serves as Brazil's primary outlet for soy oil exports, accounting for nearly 70\% of all shipments in 2021. While less common than mineral oil spills, vegetable oil spills can have similarly devastating environmental effects. This risk underscores the need for effective planning and management of activities involving vegetable oil handling in the region. To address this need, this study developed results based on a forecasting setup focused on describing the behaviour of soy oil spills in the estuarine complex of Paranaguá. The system uses the open TELEMAC-MASCARET three-dimensional numerical modelling system to solve oil movement equations, coupling the hydrodynamic module (Telemac-3d) with the oil module (ECOS). The system is automated through computational routines written in Python and the bash command language, enabling users to initiate simulations and generate dispersion maps to track soybean oil in hypothetical spill scenarios. The processing results were satisfactory, demonstrating the potential for this tool to contribute to minimising the impacts of soybean oil spills in the Bay of Paranaguá. This system can support better decision-making in response efforts, reduce environmental damage, and enhance the protection of local ecosystems.

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Author Biographies

Luiz Gustavo Schmidt, Federal University of Paraná

Estudante de Oceanografia na Universidade do Paraná, atuei como membro de empresa Júnior entre os anos de 2018 e 2020 e como estagiário na área de oceanografia na empresa MTCN entre maio de 2021 e maio de 2022. Atualmente desenvolvo a segunda iniciação científica voltada para a modelagem hidrodinâmica de ambientes costeiros.

Eduardo de Paula Kirinus, Federal University of Paraná

Oceanólogo formado pela Universidade Federal do Rio Grande e mestre em Modelagem Computacional, Doutor em Oceanografia Física, Química e Geológica da FURG. Realizou Pós-Doutorando (PNPD-Capes) no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Oceânica da FURG, com a temática de energias renováveis. Atualmente é professor Adjunto da Universidade Federal do Paraná, lotado no campus Pontal do Paraná, Centro de Estudos do Mar (CEM). Atua como professor permanente do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Engenharia Oceânica da FURG.

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Published

2023-12-01

How to Cite

Schmidt, L. G., & Kirinus, E. de P. (2023). Forecast modelling of vegetable oil spill events at Paranaguá Port, Brazil. Ciência E Natura, 45(esp. 3), e74957. https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X74957