Social distancing impact in a discrete model for COVID-19
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X66996Keywords:
COVID-19, Modelos Discretos, SEIR, Distanciamento SocialAbstract
The main goal of this paper is to present a discrete SEIR model to analyse the effects of social distancing in the COVID-19 epidemics. Our results indicate that the efficiency of this nonpharmaceutical intervention depends on people engagement and on the duration of the control.
Downloads
References
BRAUER, F., FENG, Z., CASTILLO-CHAVEZ, C. Discrete epidemic models. Math Biosci Eng, 7(1), 1–15, 2010.
BRITTON, N. F. Essential Mathematical Biology, Springer-Verlag, London, 2003.
BUCKEE, C.O. et al. Aggregated mobility data could help fight COVID-19. Science, 10, 368(6487), 145-146, 2020. doi: 10.1126/science.abb8021. Epub 2020 Mar 23. PMID: 32205458.Ciência e Natura 6
FERGUSON, N. M. et al. Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand. Imperial College Report, 2020. DOI: https://doi.org/10.25561/77482.
KERMACK, W. and MCKENDRICK, A. A contribution to the mathematical theory of epidemics. Proceedings of the Royal Society of London Series A, 115, 700-721, 1927.
NEVES, A. G. M. Quarentena para o COVID-19: início, intensidade e término. Preprint, 2020.
PREM, K. et al. The effect of control strategies to reduce social mixing on outcomes of the COVID-19 epidemic in Wuhan, China: a modelling study. Lancet Public Health., 2020. doi.org/10.1016/S2468-2667(20)30073-6.
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2021 Ciência e Natura
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
To access the DECLARATION AND TRANSFER OF COPYRIGHT AUTHOR’S DECLARATION AND COPYRIGHT LICENSE click here.
Ethical Guidelines for Journal Publication
The Ciência e Natura journal is committed to ensuring ethics in publication and quality of articles.
Conformance to standards of ethical behavior is therefore expected of all parties involved: Authors, Editors, Reviewers, and the Publisher.
In particular,
Authors: Authors should present an objective discussion of the significance of research work as well as sufficient detail and references to permit others to replicate the experiments. Fraudulent or knowingly inaccurate statements constitute unethical behavior and are unacceptable. Review Articles should also be objective, comprehensive, and accurate accounts of the state of the art. The Authors should ensure that their work is entirely original works, and if the work and/or words of others have been used, this has been appropriately acknowledged. Plagiarism in all its forms constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Submitting the same manuscript to more than one journal concurrently constitutes unethical publishing behavior and is unacceptable. Authors should not submit articles describing essentially the same research to more than one journal. The corresponding Author should ensure that there is a full consensus of all Co-authors in approving the final version of the paper and its submission for publication.
Editors: Editors should evaluate manuscripts exclusively on the basis of their academic merit. An Editor must not use unpublished information in the editor's own research without the express written consent of the Author. Editors should take reasonable responsive measures when ethical complaints have been presented concerning a submitted manuscript or published paper.
Reviewers: Any manuscripts received for review must be treated as confidential documents. Privileged information or ideas obtained through peer review must be kept confidential and not used for personal advantage. Reviewers should be conducted objectively, and observations should be formulated clearly with supporting arguments, so that Authors can use them for improving the paper. Any selected Reviewer who feels unqualified to review the research reported in a manuscript or knows that its prompt review will be impossible should notify the Editor and excuse himself from the review process. Reviewers should not consider manuscripts in which they have conflicts of interest resulting from competitive, collaborative, or other relationships or connections with any of the authors, companies, or institutions connected to the papers.
