Aplicação das cadeias de markov no estudo do controle biológico da planta aquática eichhornia azurea
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X14626Keywords:
Modelagem Matemática, Cadeias de Markov, Matemática Básica, Planta Aquática, Controle BiológicoAbstract
As plantas aquáticas exercem papel importante nas represas. Entretanto, algumas espécies vêm se alastrando e causando grandes transtornos. O propósito deste trabalho foi fazer um estudo inicial do controle biológico da macrófita aquática Eichhornia azurea por meio da inserção do inseto predador Thrypticussp., utilizando modelagem matemática e Cadeias de Markov de ordem 1. Dados reais obtidos de uma pesquisa desenvolvida pelo autor entre 2002 e 2003, no município de Coxim-MS. O uso da modelagem matemática e das Cadeias de Markov permite a implementação de vários testes. Contudo, para se alcançar resultados mais precisos em relação ao controle biológico pretende-se, em trabalhos futuros, usar um modelo presa-predador e analisar com mais detalhes o problema, acrescentar mais hipóteses, além de discutir os aspectos referentes à população do predador no ambiente em questão.Downloads
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