National Early Warning Score 2 – Brazilian version: predictive validity for adults with COVID-19
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.5902/2179769273803Keywords:
Clinical Deterioration, Early Warning Score, COVID-19, Validation Study, Hospital MortalityAbstract
Objective: perform the predictive validity of National Early Warning Score 2 – Brazilian version (NEWS 2 – BR) in discharge and death outcomes in patients with COVID-19. Method: cross-sectional study with predictive validity analysis. Social-demographical and clinical variables, outcomes and the score components were collected with an electronic health record and analyzed through descriptive and inferential statistics. Outcomes: 400 patients were included, with median age of 61 years. The score, at the moment of admission, had a median of 5 points, with a range from 0 to 21. There is an association between the highest scores and the death outcome and the lowest scores and the discharge outcome. The predictive validity of NEWS 2 – BR for death was established by the analysis of the ROC curve and the most accurate cut-off point was six points. Conclusion: The Brazilian version of NEWS 2 is a valid score to assess patients with COVID-19.
Downloads
References
Gerry S, Bonnici T, Birks J, Kirtley S, Virdee PS, Watkinson PJ, et al. Early warning scores for detecting deterioration in adult hospital patients: systematic review and critical appraisal of methodology. BMJ. 2020;369:m1501. doi: 10.1136/bmj.m1501
Downey CL, Tahir W, Randell R, Brown JM, Jayne DG. Strengths and limitations of early warning scores: a systematic review and narrative synthesis. Int J Nurs Stud. 2017;76:106-19. doi: 10.1016/j.ijnurstu.2017.09.003
Yang X, Yu Y, Xu J, Shu H, Xia J, Liu H, et al. Clinical course and outcomes of critically ill patients with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia in Wuhan, China: a single-centered, retrospective, observational study. Lancet Respir Med. 2020;8(5):475-81. doi: 10.1016/S2213-2600(20)30079-5
Wu Z, McGoogan JM. Characteristics of and important lessons from the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in China: summary of a report of 72 314 cases from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. JAMA. 2020;323(13):1239-42. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.2648
Aliberti MJR, Covinsky KE, Garcez FB, Smith AK, Curiati PK, Lee SJ, et al. A fuller picture of COVID-19 prognosis: the added value of vulnerability measures to predict mortality in hospitalised older adults. Age Ageing. 2021;50(1):32-9. doi: 10.1093/ageing/afaa240
Covino M, Sandroni C, Santoro M, Sabia L, Simeoni B, Bocci MG, et al. Predicting intensive care unit admission and death for COVID-19 patients in the emergency department using early warning scores. Resuscitation. 2020;156:84-91. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2020.08.124
De Socio GV, Gidari A, Sicari F, Palumbo M, Francisci D. National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) better predicts critical Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) illness than COVID-GRAM, a multi-centre study. Infection. 2021;49(5):1033-8. doi: 10.1007/s15010-021-01620-x
Pokeerbux MR, Yelnik CM, Faure E, Drumez E, Bruandet A, Labreuche J, et al. National early warning score to predict intensive care unit transfer and mortality in COVID-19 in a French cohort. Int J Clin Pract. 2021 Jun;75(6):e14121. doi: 10.1111/ijcp.14121
Gidari A, De Socio GV, Sabbatini S, Francisci D. Predictive value of National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) for intensive care unit admission in patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Infect Dis (Lond). 2020;52(10):698-704. doi: 10.1080/23744235.2020.1784457
Baker KF, Hanrath AT, Van der Loeff IS, Kay LJ, Back J, Duncan CJ. National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to identify inpatient COVID-19 deterioration: a retrospective analysis. Clin Med (Lond). 2021;21(2):84-9 doi: 10.7861/clinmed.2020-0688
Zhang K, Zhang X, Ding W, Xuan N, Tian B, Huang T, et al. The prognostic accuracy of National Early Warning Score 2 on predicting clinical deterioration for patients with COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Front Med (Lausanne). 2021 Jul 9;8:699880. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2021.699880
Royal College of Physicians. National Early Warning Score (NEWS) 2: standardising the assessment of acute-illness severity in the NHS. London (UK): Royal College of Physicians; 2017 [cited 2022 Dec 02]. Available at: https://www.rcplondon.ac.uk/projects/outputs/national-early-warning-score-news-2
Oliveira APA, Urbanetto JS, Caregnato RCA. National Early Warning Score 2: adaptação transcultural para o português do Brasil. Rev Gaúcha Enferm. 2020;41:e20190424. doi: 10.1590/1983-1447.2020.20190424
Von Elm E, Altman DG, Egger M, Pocock SJ, Gøtzsche PC, Vandenbroucke JP, et al. The Strengthening the Reporting of Observational Studies in Epidemiology (STROBE) statement: guidelines for reporting observational studies. Int J Surg. 2014 Dec;12(12):1495-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2014.07.013
Holten AR, Nore KG, Tveiten CEVWK, Olasveengen TM, Tonby K. Predicting severe COVID-19 in the emergency department. Resusc Plus. 2020;4:100042. doi: 10.1016/j.resplu.2020.100042
Jang JG, Hur J, Hong KS, Lee W, Ahn JH. Prognostic accuracy of the SIRS, qSOFA, and NEWS for early detection of clinical deterioration in SARS-CoV-2 infected patients. J Korean Med Sci. 2020;29;35(25):e234. doi: 10.3346/jkms.2020.35.e234
Liu FY, Sun XL, Zhang Y, Ge L, Wang J, Liang X, et al. Evaluation of the risk prediction tools for patients with Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Wuhan, China: a single-centered, retrospective, observational study. Crit Care Med. 2020;48(11):e1004–11. doi: 10.1097/CCM.0000000000004549
Su Y, Ju MJ, Xie RC, Yu SJ, Zheng JL, Ma GG, et al. Prognostic accuracy of early warning scores for clinical deterioration in patients with COVID-19. Front Med (Lausanne). 2021;7:624255. doi: 10.3389/fmed.2020.624255
Prower E, Grant D, Bisquera A, Breen CP, Camporota L, Gavrilovski M, et al. The ROX index has greater predictive validity than NEWS2 for deterioration in Covid-19. EClinical Medicine. 2021;35:100828. doi: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2021.100828
Feitoza TMO, Chaves AM, Muniz GTS, Cruz MCC, Cunha Junior IF. Comorbidades e COVID-19. Rev Interfaces Saúde Hum Tecnol. 2020;31;8(3):711–23. doi: 10.16891/800
Niquini RP, Lana RM, Pacheco AG, Cruz OG, Coelho FC, Carvalho LM, et al. SRAG por COVID-19 no Brasil: descrição e comparação de características demográficas e comorbidades com SRAG por influenza e com a população geral. Cad Saúde Pública. 2020;36(7). doi: 10.1590/0102-311X00149420
Chikhalkar B, Gosain D, Gaikwad S, Deshmukh R. Assessment of National Early Warning Score 2 as a tool to predict the outcome of COVID-19 patients on admission. Cureus. 2022;14(1):e21164. doi: 10.7759/cureus.21164
Cr P, Vanidassane I, Pownraj D, Kandasamy R, Basheer A. National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) to predict poor outcome in hospitalised COVID-19 patients in India. PLoS One. 2021;16(12):e0261376. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0261376
Hu H, Yao N, Qiu Y. Predictive Value of 5 Early Warning Scores for Critical COVID-19 Patients. Disaster Med Public Health Prep. 2022;16(1):232-9. doi: 10.1017/dmp.2020.324
Kaeley N, Mahala P, Kabi A, Choudhary S, Hazra AG, Vempalli S. Utility of early warning scores to predict mortality in COVID-19 patients: a retrospective observational study. Int J Crit Illn Inj Sci. 2021;11(3):161-6.doi: 10.4103/ijciis.ijciis_64_21
Myrstad M, Ihle-Hansen H, Tveita AA, Andersen EL, Nygård S, Tveit A, et al. National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) on admission predicts severe disease and in-hospital mortality from Covid-19 - a prospective cohort study. Scand J Trauma Resusc Emerg Med. 2020;13;28(1):66. doi: 10.1186/s13049-020-00764-3
Smit JM, Krijthe JH, Tintu AN, Endeman H, Ludikhuize J, Van Genderen ME, et al. Development and validation of an early warning model for hospitalized COVID-19 patients: a multi-center retrospective cohort study. Intensive Care Med Exp. 2022;10(1):38. doi: 10.1186/s40635-022-00465-4
Kostakis I, Smith GB, Prytherch D, Meredith P, Price C, Chauhan A, et al. The performance of the National Early Warning Score and National Early Warning Score 2 in hospitalised patients infected by the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Resuscitation. 2021;159:150-7. doi: 10.1016/j.resuscitation.2020.10.039
Chang MC, Kim TU, Park D. National early warning score on admission as risk factor for invasive mechanical ventilation in COVID-19 patients: a STROBE-compliant study. Medicine. 2021;14;100(19):e25917. doi: 10.1097/MD.0000000000025917
Published
Versions
- 2023-11-30 (3)
- 2023-11-30 (2)
- 2023-04-18 (1)
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Revista de Enfermagem da UFSM
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.