Study of climate change trends, extreme events and comparative analysis between two municipalities in different regions of the Pernambuco semi-arid region

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/2236499486280

Keywords:

Climate indices , Temperature, Precipitation, Climate vulnerability

Abstract

The aim of this work is to analyze the behavior of the climate based on the application of indicators of climatic extremes of temperature and rainfall, the Aridity Index (AI) and the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), in the municipalities of Dormentes and Canhotinho, in the Sertão and Agreste regions of Pernambuco, respectively. To do this, a historical series from 1980-2016 was used to calculate the SPI and AI, and the extreme indices were estimated using the ClimPACT2 software. For temperature, the extreme indices show a trend towards an increase in the number of hot days and nights (TX90p and TN90p) in both municipalities. As for the rainfall indices, there is a tendency for drought to increase in the Sertão (DCU, PRCPTOT, R95p, Rx5day, R10) and for humidity to increase in the Agreste (PRCPTOT, R95p, Rx5day, R10, R20, R30). The SPI indicated the occurrence of intense dry events in both regions and the IA indicated increasing aridity for Dormentes.

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Author Biographies

Alexandre Carlos Araújo de Santana, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco

PhD student in Civil Engineering in the area of Water Resources at the Federal University of Pernambuco (since 2019), Master's degree in Civil and Environmental Engineering from the Federal University of Pernambuco (2013-2015), MBA in People Management and Leadership - Cedepe Business School (2012), specialization in Rural Administration from the Federal University of Lavras (2007), undergraduate degree in Fisheries Engineering from the Federal Rural University of Pernambuco (2004). Since March 2018, he has been consulting on the development of projects focused on sustainability, water resource management, including sanitation and food security in diffuse communities in Pernambuco's semi-arid region; training family farmers and rural producers in good production practices and sustainability; strategic planning; team management; fundraising; as well as the preparation of projects in general, for submission to competitive bidding processes.

Jocimar Coutinho Rodrigues Junior, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco

PhD candidate and master's degree (2022) in Civil Engineering, in the area of Environmental Technology and Water Resources, from PPGEC/UFPE. Specialist in Occupational Safety Engineering from Cândido Mendes University (2021). Graduated in Environmental and Sanitary Engineering from the Federal University of Sergipe (2019) and in Civil Engineering from Tiradentes University (2019). He is currently a substitute professor at the Federal Rural University of Pernambuco (UFRPE) in the Belo Jardim Academic Unit (UABJ). He works in the areas of Civil and Sanitary Engineering, with an emphasis on Water Resources, Sanitation and Environment, in the following subjects: Pollution Control, Water Quality, Modeling and Simulation of Environmental Systems, Hydrology, Hydraulics, Environmental Impact Assessment and Remote Sensing.

Timóteo Herculino Barros, Universidade de São Paulo

He is a post-doctoral fellow at the Center for Nuclear Energy in Agriculture at the University of São Paulo (CENA/USP) and holds a doctorate and master's degree in Agricultural Systems Engineering from the Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture - University of São Paulo (ESALQ/USP). Agronomist graduated from the Federal Rural University of Pernambuco - Garanhuns Academic Unit (2008-2012).

Níveo Rocha, Fundação Cearense de Meteorologia e Recursos Hídricos

Degree in Geography (BA) from the State University of Ceará (UECE). Specialist in Geoprocessing (UECE). Master's degree in Geography from the Federal University of Paraíba (UFPB). Researcher at the Geoprocessing Laboratory (LabGeo/UECE). He is currently a Technology Transfer Fellow at the Ceará Meteorology Foundation (FUNCEME), working in the areas of Python and JavaScript programming, applied to Remote Sensing and with experience in the area of Geoprocessing with an emphasis on Databases and Geostatistics.

Fabiani Denise Bender, Universidade de São Paulo

Bachelor's degree in Meteorology from the Federal University of Santa Maria (2010). Master in Atmospheric Sciences from the Institute of Astronomy, Geophysics and Atmospheric Sciences of the University of São Paulo - IAG/USP (2012); PhD (2017) and Post-Doctorate (2019) in Science, from the Agricultural Systems Engineering program, from the Luiz de Queiroz College of Agriculture of the University of São Paulo - ESALQ/USP.

José Almir Cirilo, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco

He has a degree in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Pernambuco (1977), a Master's degree in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (1979) and a PhD in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro (1991). He is currently a Full Professor at the Federal University of Pernambuco, Agreste Academic Campus, and continues to advise Master's and Doctoral students at the Recife Campus. He has coordinated several projects funded by CNPq, CAPES and international institutions.

Anderson Luiz Ribeiro de Paiva, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco

He holds a bachelor's degree in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Pernambuco (2002), a master's degree in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Pernambuco (2004) and a doctorate in Civil Engineering from the Federal University of Pernambuco (2009). He is currently a permanent member of the Federal University of Pernambuco, coordinator of the undergraduate course at the Federal University of Pernambuco, permanent member of the Federal University of Pernambuco, associate member of the Águas do Nordeste Association and associate professor at the Federal University of Pernambuco. He has experience in the area of Sanitary Engineering, with an emphasis on Water Resources, working mainly on the following subjects: bank filtration, water quality, urban drainage, river-aquifer interaction and the hyporheic zone.

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2024-12-13

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Santana, A. C. A. de, Rodrigues Junior, J. C., Barros, T. H., Rocha, N., Bender, F. D., Cirilo, J. A., & Paiva, A. L. R. de. (2024). Study of climate change trends, extreme events and comparative analysis between two municipalities in different regions of the Pernambuco semi-arid region. Geografia Ensino & Pesquisa, 28, e86280. https://doi.org/10.5902/2236499486280

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Vol. 28 (2024): Continuous Publication

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Meio Ambiente, Paisagem e Qualidade Ambiental

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