DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN BRAZIL: AN APPLICATION OF THE VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS (VAR) IN THE PERIOD OF 1980-2010

Authors

  • Samuel Costa Peres Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul
  • Tiago Hideo Yamada Universidade Estadual de Maringá

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/1414650913410

Keywords:

FDI flows, VAR model, Brazil

Abstract

This paper aims to analyze the determinants of the foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in the Brazilian economy over the period 1980-2010. Basically, the determinants of FDI may be related to characteristics of firms and countries of origin (push factors) or locational factors (pull factors). Among the push factors analyzed in this article, stands out the influence of the GDP real growth rate in advanced economies and the rate of change of the Dow Jones Index (DJIA). As pull effects, stood out the domestic product rate of growth, the Bovespa index, the exchange rate and, in a minor degree, the Economic Freedom Index.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

Samuel Costa Peres, Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul

Doutorando no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Economia da UFRGS. Mestre em Economia pela UEM. Bolsista do CNPq.

Tiago Hideo Yamada, Universidade Estadual de Maringá

Mestrando no Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ciências Econômicas da UEM.

References

BUENO, R. Econometria de séries temporais. 2ª Ed. São Paulo: Cengage Learning, 2011.

BUCKEY, P. J., CASSON, M. The future of the multinational enterprise. London: MacMillan, 1976. 116p.

BUCKEY, P. J., CASSON, M. The optimal timing of a foreign direct investment. Economic Journal, v.91, n.361, p.75-87, Mar.1981.

CAMPOS, N. F., KINOSHITA, Y. Why does FDI go where it goes? New evidence from the transition economies. Washington: International Monetary Fund Institute, 2003. 31p. (Working Paper; 03/228).

CANTWELL, J., NARULA, R. The eclectic paradigm in the global economy. International Journal of the Economics of Business, v.8, n.2, p.155-172, 2001.

CAVES, R. E. International corporations: the industrial economics of foreign investment. Economica, v.38, n.149, p.1-27, Fev. 1971.

COSTA, C. G. Factores de atracção do investimento directo estrangeiro para a economia brasileira nos anos 90 e as repercussões sobre a especialização internacional no Brasil. Informação Internacional: análise econômica e política, p.53-77, Ministério do Ambiente e do Ordenamento Territorial de Portugal, 2002.

DUNNING, J. H. The eclectic (OLI) paradigm of international production: past, present and future. International Journal of the Economics of Business, v.8, n.2, p.173-190, 2001.

DUNNING, J. H. Multinational enterprises and the global economy. Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley, 1993. 687p.

DUNNING, J. H. (1988), “Trade, location of economic activity and the multinational enterprise: a search for an eclectic approach”. In Dunning, J. H. (comp.), Explaining international production, London, p. 13-40, Unwin Hyman.

DUNNING, J. H., KIM, C., LIN, J. Incorporating trade into the investment development path: a case study of Korea and Taiwan. Oxford Development Studies, v.29, n.2, p.145-154, 2001.

ELLIOTT, G; ROTHENBERG, T.J; STOCK, J.H. (1996). Efficient tests for an autoregressive unit root. Econometrica, 64, pp.813-836.

ENDERS, W. Applied econometric time series. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc, 1995.

FMI – Fundo Monetário Internacional. Disponível em: <http://www.imf.org>. Acesso em: nov, 2012.

FRASER INSTITUTE. Web site of the Economic Freedom Network. Disponível em: http://www.freetheworld.com/. Acesso: Nov/2012.

GARIBALDI, P. et alii. What moves capital to transition economies? IMF Staff Papers, v.48, Special Issues, p.109-145, 2001.

GONÇALVES, R. Globalização e desnacionalização. São Paulo: Paz e Terra, 1999.

GRAHAM, E. M. Market structure and the multinational enterprise: a game-theoretic approach. Journal of International Business Studies, v.29, n.1, p.67-83, 1998.

GRAHAM, E. M. Transatlantic investment by multinational firms: a rivalistic phenomenon? Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, v.1, n.1, p.82-99, 1978.

GREENE, W. H. Econometric Analysis. 7ª ed. New Jersey: Pearson Prentice Hall, 2011. HOLLAND, D. et alii. The determinants and impact of FDI in central and eastern Europe: a comparison of survey and econometric evidence. New York: Transnational Corporations, v. 9, n. 3, Dec, 2000.

HYMER, S. H. Empresas multinacionais: a internacionalização do capital. Rio de Janeiro: Graal, 1978. Capítulo 1. O impacto das empresas internacionais. p.11-35.

HYMER, S. H. The international operations of national firms: a study of direct foreign investment. (Ph.D. Dissertation). p. 253, 1976.

HYMER, S. H. The international operations of national firms. Cambridge, The MIT Press, 1960.

IPEADATA. Base de dados econômicos e financeiros mantida pelo Instituto de Pesquisa Econômica Aplicada. Disponível em: http://www.ipeadata.gov.br/. Acesso: Nov/2012.

JABBOUR, E; ACIOLY, L; MIGUEL, S. I Seminário Bric: Oportunidades e Desafios: Breves notas comparativas em economia e história (2006). Disponível em: http://www2.camara.gov.br/eve/realizados/bric/programacao.html. Acesso: Jan/2013.

KINDLEBERGER, C. P. American business abroad: six lectures on direct investment. New Heaven: Yale University, 1969. 225p.

LACERDA, A. C. Globalização e Investimento Estrangeiro no Brasil. São Paulo: Editora Saraiva, 2004.

LACERDA, A. C. (Org.). Desnacionalização: mitos, riscos e desafios. São Paulo: Editora Contexto, 2000.

LACERDA, A. C. O Impacto da globalização na economia brasileira. São Paulo: Editora Contexto, 1998, 1ª edição.

LANE, P. R., MILESI-FERRETTI, G. M. External capital structure: theory and evidence. London: Centre for Economic and Policy Research, Discussion Paper 2583, 2000.

LIMA JÚNIOR, A. J. M. Determinantes do Investimento Direto Estrangeiro no Brasil. (Tese de Doutorado). UFMG/Cedeplar. Belo Horizonte, 2005.

MATTOS, L. B. et al. Determinantes dos investimentos diretos estrangeiros no Brasil, 1980-2004. Revista de Economia Contemporânea, p. 39-60, jan./abr, Rio de Janeiro, 2007.

NONNENBERG, M. J. B.; MENDONÇA, M. J. C. Determinantes dos investimentos diretos externos em países em desenvolvimento. Estudos Econômicos, v. 35, n. 4, p. 631-655, out/dec, São Paulo, 2005.

NUNNENKAMP, P., SPATZ, J. Determinants of FDI in developing countries: has globalization changed the rules of the game? Transnational Corporations, v.11, n.2, p.1-34, Aug.2002.

PHILLIPS, P.; PERRON, P. Testing for a unit root in time series regression. Biometrika, 75, 335-46, 1998.

NELSON, C. R.; PLOSSER, C. I. Trends and random walks in macroeconomic time series. Journal of Monetary Economics, v. 10, p. 139-162, 1982.

SCHNEIDER, F., FREY, B. S. Economic and political determinants of foreign direct investment. World Development, v.13, n.2, p.161-175, 1985.

SIMS, C. Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, v.48, n.1, p.1-48, 1980.

VERNON, R. International investment and international trade in the product cycle. Quarterly Journal of Economics, v.80, n.2, p190-207, 1966.

Published

2014-09-22

How to Cite

Peres, S. C., & Yamada, T. H. (2014). DETERMINANTS OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN BRAZIL: AN APPLICATION OF THE VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE MODELS (VAR) IN THE PERIOD OF 1980-2010. Economia E Desenvolvimento, 26(2). https://doi.org/10.5902/1414650913410

Issue

Section

Articles