Modelagem e Tendência da Temperatura Média do ar da Cidade de Salvador-Bahia

Alexandre Lopo, Maria Helena Spyrides, Paulo Sérgio Lucio, Javier Sigró, Washington Correia Filho

Abstract


This paper verifies the trend and performs the modeling of the mean air temperature (Tma) Salvador (BA) city, with data from 1961 to 2012 with a view to projecting its climatological variability for a period of 30 years (2013-2042). The trend test of Mann-Kendall indicated positive trend in Tma and Dynamic Regression Model estimated an Tma of 25.8ºC above the climatological normal current of 25.3ºC.



DOI: https://doi.org/10.5902/2179460X11362

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