Dynamic condicional quasicorrelation of the spot and future markets volatility

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5902/2236117015879

Keywords:

GARCH-DCC, spillover information effect, future market.

Abstract

This paper aim is analyze the spillover information effect and dynamic conditional quasicorrelation volatility between spot and future market in Brazil, Germany and United States. In this purpose, it was estimated three bivariate GARCH-DCC models to Ibovespa, DAX, S&P500 and it is future contracts. The results indicate that de spot market is affected by the past informations from their own returns and their future market returns in all indices analyzed but DAX. About the volatility, the dynamic correlation volatility between spot and future market is very strong in all three cases.

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Author Biographies

Fernanda Maria Müller, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, RS

Mestranda em Engenharia de Produção Universidade Federal de Santa Maria

Renata Rojas Guerra, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, RS

Mestranda em Engenharia de Produção Universidade Federal de Santa Maria

Adriano Mendonça Souza, Universidade Federal de Santa Maria, Santa Maria, RS

Professor do Departamento de Estatística Universidade Federal de Santa Maria

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Published

2015-03-31

How to Cite

Müller, F. M., Guerra, R. R., & Souza, A. M. (2015). Dynamic condicional quasicorrelation of the spot and future markets volatility. Revista Eletrônica Em Gestão, Educação E Tecnologia Ambiental, 19(2), 862–878. https://doi.org/10.5902/2236117015879

Issue

Section

ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT

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