UNEVEN DEVELOPMENT IN GROWTH MODELS OF KEYNESIAN INSPIRATION
Palabras clave:
Uneven Development, Post Keynesian Economics, Technological progressResumen
This article aims to make a systematic presentation of Keynesian-inspired growth models (Neo-Keynesian and Kaldorian Models), focusing on the role of aggregate demand in the analysis of the determinants of uneven development, which means that the focus of the article will be the proximate causes of economic growth in Maddison´s sense (1988) from the perspective of Keynesian Economics. These growth models will be classified into two groups, namely: growth models with limited labor supply, more directly applicable to mature economies; and growth models led by aggregate demand, in which labor supply can be regarded as unlimited or perfectly elastic, thus being more applicable to the case of dual economies in Lewis's sense or in the process of Industrialization. In the case of models with limited supply of labor, the growth rate compatible with a balanced growth path is determined by the natural growth rate, consisting of the sum between the growth of the workforce and the growth of labor productivity. As technological progress is largely embedded in new machinery and equipment, the pace of growth of labor productivity depends critically on the pace of capital accumulation; but the extent to which technical progress is incorporated into the economy depends on the level of the technological gap, which expresses the technological asymmetries between the various economies. In this setting, different levels of technological gap are compatible with different rates of growth of labor productivity along the balanced growth trajectory, thus generating divergences between the growth rates of the countries.Descargas
Citas
ARROW, K. J. “Economic welfare and the allocation of resources for invention”. In: NBER – NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH. The rate and direction of inventive activity: economic and social factors. Princenton: Princenton University Press, 1962. p. 609-626.
BARRO, R. J.; SALA-I-MARTIN, X. Economic growth. New York: McGraw Hill, 1995.
BOTTA, A. “A structuralist north-south model on structural change, economic growth and catching-up”. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, v. 20, n. 1, p. 61-73, 2009.
BRESSER-PEREIRA, L. C. Lucro, acumulação e crise. São Paulo: Brasiliense, 1986.
CARVALHO, F. J. C. de. Mr. Keynes and the post Keynesians: principles of macroeconomics for a monetary production economy. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 1992.
CUNHA, R. G. T da. “Causas próximas e últimas”. Correio da Cidadania, 21 fev. 2008. Disponível em: <https://bit.ly/34dugwN>.
DAVIDSON, P. “Finance, funding, saving and investment”. Journal of Post Keynesian Economics, v. 9, n. 1, p. 101-110, 1986.
GABRIEL, L. F.; JAYME JÚNIOR, F. G.; OREIRO, J. L. “A north-south model of economic growth, technological gap, structural change and real exchange rate”. Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, v. 38, p. 83-94, 2016.
GAREGNANI, P. “Sobre a teoria da distribuição e do valor em Marx e nos economistas clássicos”. In: GAREGNANI, P. et al. (Org.). Progresso técnico e teoria econômica. São Paulo: Hucitec, 1980.
GERSCHENKRON, A. Economic Backwardness in historical perspective: a book of essays. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard University Press
HARROD, R. (1939). “An Essay in Dynamic Theory”. The Economic Journal, vol. 49.
KALDOR, N. Alternative theories of distribution. Review of Economic Studies, v. 23, n. 2, p. 83-100, 1956.
______. “A model of economic growth”. Economic Journal, v. 67, n. 268, p. 591-624, 1957.
______. “Marginal productivity and the macro-economic theories of distribution”. Review of Economic Studies, v. 33, n. 4, p. 309-319, 1966.
______. “Technical change and the aggregate production function”. Review of Economics and Statistics, v. 39, n. 3, p. 312-320, Aug. 1957.
¬¬¬¬______. The role of effective demand in the short and the long-run. In: BARRÉRE, A. (Ed.). The foundations of keynesian analysis. London: Palgrave Macmillan, 1988.
KEYNES, J. M. The general theory of employment, interest and money. Cambridge: Palgrave Macmillan, 1936.
LEÓN-LEDESMA, M. A. “Accumulation, innovation and catching-up: an extended cumulative growth model”. Cambridge Journal of Economics, v. 26, n. 2, p. 201-216, 2002.
LEWIS, W. A. “Economic development with unlimited supplies of labor”. Manchester School of Economic and Social Studies, v. 22, n. 2, 1954.
MADDISON, A. “Ultimate and proximate growth causality: a critique to Mancur Olson on the rise and decline of nations”. Scandinavian Economic History Review, v. 36, n. 2, p. 25-29, 1988.
OREIRO, J. L. “O debate entre Keynes e os clássicos sobre os determinantes da taxa de juros”. Revista de Economia Política, v. 20, n. 2, 2000.
______. Macrodinâmica pós-keynesiana: crescimento e distribuição de renda. Rio de Janeiro: Alta Books, 2018.
______. Macroeconomia do desenvolvimento: uma perspectiva keynesiana. Rio de Janeiro: LTC, 2016.
OREIRO, J. L.; SILVA, G. J; FORTUNATO, W. “Gasto público com infraestrutura, acumulação privada de capital e crescimento de longo-prazo: uma avaliação teórica e empírica para o Brasil (1985-2003)”. In: ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE ECONOMIA POLÍTICA, 13., 2008, João Pessoa, Paraíba. Anais... João Pessoa: SEP, 2008.
PASINETTI, L. L. “The rate of profit and income distribution in relation to the rate of economic growth”. Review of Economic Studies, v. 29, n. 4, 1962.
PAULA, L. F. de. Sistema financeiro, bancos e financiamento da economia: uma abordagem keynesiana. Rio de Janeiro: Campus, 2014.
ROMER, P. “Endogenous technological change”. Journal of Political Economy, v. 98, n. 5, 1990.
ROS, J. Rethinking economic development, growth and institutions. Oxford: Oxford University Press, 2013.
SCHMOOKLER, J. Invention and economic growth. Cambridge, United States: Harvard University Press, 1966.
SERRANO, F.; FREITAS, F. “The sraffian super-multiplier as an alternative closure to heterodox growth theory”. In: ENCONTRO NACIONAL DE ECONOMIA, 43., 2015, Florianópolis, Santa Catarina. Anais... Florianópolis: Anpec, 2015.
SETTERFIELD, M. Rapid growth and relative decline: modelling macroeconomic dynamics with hysteresis. London: Palgrave Macmillan, 1997.
SKOTT, P. “Growth, instability and cycles: harrodian and kaleckian models of accumulation and income distribution”. In: SETTERFIELD, M. (Ed.). Handbook of alternative theories of economic growth. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 2010.
SOLOW, R. M. “A contribution to the theory of economic growth”. Quarterly Journal of Economics, v. 70, n. 1, p. 65-94, Feb. 1956.
THIRLWALL, A. P. “The balance of payments constraint as an explanation of international growth rate differences”. PSL Quarterly Review, v. 32, n. 128, Mar. 1979.
______. The nature of economic growth: an alternative framework for understanding the performance of nations. Aldershot: Edward Elgar, 2002.
VERSPAGEN, B. Uneven growth between interdependent economies: a evolutionary view on technology gaps, trade and growth. Aldershot: Avebury, 1993.
YOUNG, A. A. “A increasing returns and economic progress”. The Economic Journal, v. 38, n. 152, p. 527-542, 1928.
Descargas
Publicado
Cómo citar
Número
Sección
Licencia
Derechos de autor 2022 Práticas de Administração Pública
Esta obra está bajo una licencia internacional Creative Commons Atribución-NoComercial-CompartirIgual 4.0.
Será exigida de todos os autores de artigos aceitos para publicação na PAP - Práticas de Administração Pública a Declaração de Direitos Autorais, na qual, os autores concedem à revista o direito de primeira publicação, com o trabalho simultaneamente licenciado sob a Creative Commons Atribuição-NãoComercial-CompartilhaIgual 4.0 Internacional.