TY - JOUR AU - Kurz, Gustavo Braz AU - Buske, Daniela AU - Quadros, Régis Sperotto AU - Gonçalves, Glênio Aguiar PY - 2022/07/14 Y2 - 2024/03/28 TI - Analysis of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Pelotas JF - Ciência e Natura JA - CeN VL - 43 IS - 0 SE - Special Edition DO - 10.5902/2179460X66994 UR - https://periodicos.ufsm.br/cienciaenatura/article/view/66994 SP - e9 AB - <p>This work presents an analysis of the cases contamination situation by the SARS-CoV-2 virus during the pandemic COVID-19, in the city of Pelotas, in the south of Rio Grande do Sul. Using a simple compartmentalized mathematical model and deterministic, a projection of the number cases until the end is presented, year 2020, considering 3 different scenarios. The evolution of pandemic considering curves of accumulated, recovered, active and Deaths; the occupation of COVID exclusive ICU beds; cases and deaths per epidemiological week and the variation in the effective number of reproduction and the percentage of social isolation in Pelotas will also be presented.</p> ER -